Audavs
Ogre United
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 4-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Auda 1-0 Ogre United
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.5% | 83.3% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 17.9% | 11.2% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 7.83 | 11.6% | 5.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.4–012%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
83.3%
Model confidence
83.3%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AudaDWDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ogre UnitedDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AudaOgre United
54.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence13.8
65.5Form17.2
62.7Power24.9
3.21xG0.55