Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Auda 2-0 Grobiņa, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Auda 1-0 Grobiņa
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.3% | 75.9% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.4% | 16.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.37 | 14.2% | 7.8% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Projected Score
Auda 2–0 Grobiņa
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AudaDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GrobiņaWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AudaGrobiņa
54.3Attack23.8
66.7Defence40.5
65.4Form28.6
62.6Power33.6
2.28xG0.46