VirsligaVirsliga
Sunday, 19 July 202617:00Updated today
Auda

Auda

Home
LLWL
vs
17:00
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

Away
WW
Skonto stadions
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Auda(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Auda
43%
Draw
26%
FK Liepaja
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Auda
25
FK Liepaja
54
Defence
Auda
56
FK Liepaja
82
Momentum
Auda
25
FK Liepaja
100
Danger (xG)
Auda
0.68
FK Liepaja
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Auda)
0.68
avg per match
xG for (FK Liepaja)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Auda)
1.13
avg per match
xG against (FK Liepaja)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AudaAuda
LLWLL
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
WWWLW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Auda43%
Draw26%
FK Liepaja31%

Auda leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Auda head into this in Virsliga fixture at Skonto stadions struggling for consistency (LLWL), while FK Liepaja arrive in decent form (WW). Auda have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 100% for FK Liepaja over 2 games.

The model rates Auda's attack at 25/100 against a 82/100 FK Liepaja defence, and FK Liepaja's attack at 54/100 against a 56/100 Auda backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Auda have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. FK Liepaja have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

FK Liepaja have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Auda to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Auda 4279%, Draw 2589%, FK Liepaja 3132%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Auda 0Draws 01 FK Liepaja
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
20 Oct 2025
Auda
L12
FK Liepaja

Recent form

Auda

Auda

L
vs Riga
29 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Grobiņa
25 Jun 2026
01
W
@ Super Nova
21 Jun 2026
20
L
vs Rīgas FS
17 May 2026
03
L
@ Riga
12 May 2026
14
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

W
@ Dečić
15 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Dečić
9 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Ogre United
30 Jun 2026
40
L
vs Rīgas FS
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Auda vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts Auda to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Auda vs FK Liepaja?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Auda vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Auda vs FK Liepaja?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more