Aucklandvs
Western Sydney Wanderers
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Western Sydney Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Auckland 1-3 Western Sydney Wanderers
Original prediction
Western Sydney Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.2% | 36.5% | -19.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.9% | 24.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.9% | 39.3% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Western Sydney Wanderers
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00