Auckland Unitedvs
Cambridge
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auckland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Auckland United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cambridge are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Auckland United hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Chatham Cup, while Auckland United holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auckland United
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
7.9%
Auckland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00