GGOALVIO

New-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auckland City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Auckland City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Takapuna are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auckland City hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Chatham Cup, while Auckland City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auckland City

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Auckland City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Auckland CityLWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TakapunaLWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Auckland CityTakapuna
83.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
59.3Power7.0
3.16xG1.63
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