Auckland Cityvs
Auckland United
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · National League - National · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auckland City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Auckland City 3-0 Auckland United
Original prediction
Auckland City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.6% | 41.3% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 24.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 34.4% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Auckland City
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Auckland City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20