Auchinleck Talbotvs
Cumnock Juniors
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auchinleck Talbot · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Auchinleck Talbot 4-0 Cumnock Juniors
Original prediction
Auchinleck Talbot
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.2% | 57.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.8% | 18.2% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 25.9% | 24.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Auchinleck Talbot
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Auchinleck Talbot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00