Aucasvs
Tecnico Universitario
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aucas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aucas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Liga Pro, while Aucas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aucas
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
20.8%
Aucas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00