Liga ProLiga Pro
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Aucas

Aucas

Home
LWW
14
Full time
Macara

Macara

Away
WWW
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Aucas(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Aucas
39%
Draw
28%
Macara
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aucas
23
Macara
61
Defence
Aucas
66
Macara
86
Momentum
Aucas
67
Macara
100
Danger (xG)
Aucas
0.60
Macara
1.50
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Aucas)
0.60
avg per match
xG for (Macara)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Aucas)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Macara)
0.30
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AucasAucas
LWW
MacaraMacara
WWWLW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Aucas39%
Draw28%
Macara33%

Aucas leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aucas head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda in decent form (LWW), while Macara arrive in strong form (WWW). Aucas have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Macara over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Aucas (66/100) and Macara (86/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Aucas have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Macara have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Aucas and Macara in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Aucas to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Aucas 3925%, Draw 2790%, Macara 3285%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Aucas

Aucas

L
vs Independiente del Valle
16 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Deportivo Cuenca
12 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Guayaquil City FC
8 Jul 2026
10
Macara

Macara

W
vs Mushuc Runa SC
14 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Tecnico Universitario
11 Jul 2026
20
W
vs LDU de Quito
5 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Independiente del Valle
16 May 2026
03
W
@ Manta FC
11 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aucas vs Macara?

GoalVio's model predicts Aucas to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Macara?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Aucas vs Macara?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aucas vs Macara?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more