Aucasvs
LDU de Quito
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/17/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aucas 0-0 LDU de Quito, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aucas 1-1 LDU de Quito
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.4% | 29.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.0% | 34.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.6% | 35.8% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.04 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Aucas 0–0 LDU de Quito
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AucasLLDDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoWWWDL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AucasLDU de Quito
36.5Attack36.5
66.7Defence72.9
52.1Form54.2
53.8Power56.4
0.63xG0.67