Aucasvs
Barcelona SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aucas 0-0 Barcelona SC, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aucas 0-4 Barcelona SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.7% | 38.6% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 33.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.3% | 28.2% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Aucas 0–0 Barcelona SC
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AucasDLLDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona SCDLDDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
AucasBarcelona SC
36.4Attack35.4
66.7Defence69.8
51.5Form45.8
53.6Power52.2
0.71xG0.64