Aucasvs
Barcelona SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aucas 0-0 Barcelona SC, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.2% | 39.1% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 33.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.6% | 27.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.46 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Projected Score
Aucas 0–0 Barcelona SC
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AucasDWLWL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Barcelona SCWLWDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AucasBarcelona SC
38.1Attack35.7
67.9Defence72.6
57.1Form50.0
56.4Power54.5
0.68xG0.62