Aubstadtvs
SpVgg Unterhaching
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aubstadt · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aubstadt 2-3 SpVgg Unterhaching
Original prediction
Aubstadt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.3% | 37.4% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.2% | 36.4% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Aubstadt
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Aubstadt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80