Aubstadtvs
Illertissen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Illertissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aubstadt 0-0 Illertissen
Original prediction
Illertissen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.5% | 28.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.8% | 44.4% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Illertissen
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Illertissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40