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Aubagne logoAubagnevsBastia logoBastia

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France · Ligue 3 · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aubagne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Aubagne 0-1 Bastia

Original prediction

Aubagne

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Aubagne

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

14.2%

Aubagne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AubagneLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BastiaLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AubagneBastia
0.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power15.3
1.30xG1.17
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