Atyrauvs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atyrau 0-0 Yelimay Semey, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atyrau 1-2 Yelimay Semey
Original prediction
Yelimay Semey
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.8% | 29.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.0% | 30.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.2% | 40.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Atyrau 0–0 Yelimay Semey
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Yelimay Semey
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00