Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20