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Atyrau logoAtyrauvsKyzyl-Zhar logoKyzyl-Zhar

COMPLETED

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atyrau are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kyzyl-Zhar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 44.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.6% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

24.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtyrauWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kyzyl-ZharWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AtyrauKyzyl-Zhar
25.0Attack39.7
68.3Defence52.4
33.3Form36.5
44.8Power44.5
0.77xG0.69
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