Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kaisar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 43.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00