Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atyrau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Astana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.6% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
22.6%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60