Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pastoreo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atyrá are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pastoreo are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Pastoreo hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Pastoreo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pastoreo
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Pastoreo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00