GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atvidabergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atvidabergs FF 1-1 Trollhättan

Original prediction

Atvidabergs FF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.1%42.6%-5.5 pts
Draw3.7224.3%26.3%2.0 pts
Away3.2727.6%31.1%3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Atvidabergs FF

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Atvidabergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atvidabergs FFWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrollhättanWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atvidabergs FFTrollhättan
55.6Attack66.7
55.6Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
62.6Power56.2
1.64xG1.32
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