GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atvidabergs FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atvidabergs FF 1-0 Lund

Original prediction

Atvidabergs FF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2040.8%38.6%-2.2 pts
Draw3.4725.8%27.5%1.7 pts
Away2.6933.4%33.9%0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Atvidabergs FF

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Atvidabergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atvidabergs FFLWDLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LundWWDWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atvidabergs FFLund
55.6Attack50.0
55.6Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
62.6Power68.0
1.36xG1.23
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