GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atvidabergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atvidabergs FF 1-2 Hässleholms IF

Original prediction

Atvidabergs FF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7851.0%42.2%-8.8 pts
Draw3.6425.0%23.4%-1.6 pts
Away3.7824.0%34.4%10.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Atvidabergs FF

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Atvidabergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atvidabergs FFDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hässleholms IFWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atvidabergs FFHässleholms IF
64.1Attack57.3
53.8Defence64.0
60.3Form60.0
60.4Power61.0
1.49xG1.46
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