GGOALVIO

Malta · Challenge League · 9/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swieqi United · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Attard 0-1 Swieqi United, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Attard 3-3 Swieqi United

Original prediction

Swieqi United

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.3017.1%12.8%-4.3 pts
Draw4.2521.3%20.6%-0.6 pts
Away1.4661.7%66.6%4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.9 pts

Projected Score

Attard 0–1 Swieqi United

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Swieqi United

Probability

66.6%

Model confidence

66.6%

Swieqi United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AttardDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swieqi UnitedDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AttardSwieqi United
30.6Attack47.2
36.1Defence68.1
25.0Form52.8
32.8Power56.7
0.59xG1.78
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