GGOALVIO

Malta · Challenge League · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Attard · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Attard 0-1 St. Andrews

Original prediction

Attard

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5135.8%40.7%4.9 pts
Draw3.2727.5%26.5%-1.0 pts
Away2.4536.7%32.8%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Attard

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Attard has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AttardDDLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
St. AndrewsLWDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AttardSt. Andrews
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence50.0
25.0Form33.3
39.1Power36.8
1.58xG1.25
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