Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Attard 0-0 Melita
Original prediction
Melita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.80 | 18.8% | 29.3% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.7% | 25.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.5% | 45.3% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Melita
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Melita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AttardLDDWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MelitaLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AttardMelita
66.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power59.3
1.48xG1.79