Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atromitos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atromitos 1-2 Kifisia
Original prediction
Atromitos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.8% | 41.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.4% | 29.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.8% | 29.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Atromitos
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Atromitos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtromitosLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KifisiaLDLLD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtromitosKifisia
25.0Attack16.7
58.3Defence50.0
16.7Form16.7
36.5Power31.3
1.21xG0.94