Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atromitos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atromitos 1-1 Kalamata
Original prediction
Atromitos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.5% | 43.7% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.7% | 29.0% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Atromitos
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Atromitos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtromitosWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KalamataDLLWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AtromitosKalamata
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence16.7
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power21.5
1.50xG1.16