Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atmosfera 3-1 Tauras
Original prediction
Tauras
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.4% | 30.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 24.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 40.8% | 44.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtmosferaLDLDL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TaurasDDWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtmosferaTauras
49.2Attack59.1
55.6Defence62.1
41.3Form60.6
48.7Power61.3
1.16xG1.51