Atmosferavs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atmosfera are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the 1 Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20