Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atmosfera are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dainava are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60