AtmosferavsŽalgiris II

Atmosfera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Atmosfera holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.