GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Tucumán Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atlético Tucumán Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tigre Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Tucumán Res. hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Reserve League, while Atlético Tucumán Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Tucumán Res.

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Atlético Tucumán Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético Tucumán Res.WLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tigre Res.WLDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético Tucumán Res.Tigre Res.
40.6Attack27.3
56.5Defence54.5
50.7Form30.3
51.1Power40.2
1.23xG0.63
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