GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 10/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1741.1%35.2%-5.9 pts
Draw3.1728.1%31.1%3.0 pts
Away2.9130.7%33.7%3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.17 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Projected Score

Atlético Tucumán Res. 0–0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.1%

Model confidence

35.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético Tucumán Res.DWDWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2DDDWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Atlético Tucumán Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
36.7Attack33.3
54.4Defence65.5
46.7Form48.3
48.0Power51.3
0.81xG0.84
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