Atlético Tembetaryvs
Tacuary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tembetary · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 3-2 Tacuary
Original prediction
Atlético Tembetary
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.7% | 43.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 28.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.3% | 28.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tembetary
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40