Atlético Tembetaryvs
Sportivo Iteno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 9/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tembetary · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 2-0 Sportivo Iteno
Original prediction
Atlético Tembetary
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.9% | 42.7% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.5% | 27.0% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.61 | 13.7% | 30.4% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tembetary
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00