Atlético Tembetaryvs
Sportivo Carapeguá
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/15/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tembetary · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 1-2 Sportivo Carapeguá
Original prediction
Atlético Tembetary
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.4% | 48.2% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.6% | 24.0% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 29.9% | 27.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tembetary
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60