Atlético Tembetaryvs
SOL DE America
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 10/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tembetary · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 2-3 SOL DE America
Original prediction
Atlético Tembetary
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 23:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.3% | 37.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 27.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.8% | 35.4% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tembetary
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60