Atlético Tembetaryvs
Paraguari AC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 2-1 Paraguari AC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 33.6% | 34.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.0% | 30.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.4% | 35.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20