GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Tembetary · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atlético Tembetary 0-2 Encarnación

Original prediction

Atlético Tembetary

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9047.6%55.7%8.1 pts
Draw3.3227.2%24.3%-2.9 pts
Away3.5625.3%20.1%-5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–013%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

Atlético Tembetary

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético TembetaryWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EncarnaciónLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético TembetaryEncarnación
49.2Attack30.2
49.2Defence50.8
46.0Form23.8
50.3Power37.4
1.62xG0.80
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