Atlético Tembetaryvs
Deportivo Capiata
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Tembetary · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tembetary 1-2 Deportivo Capiata
Original prediction
Atlético Tembetary
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.2% | 41.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 25.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.3% | 33.0% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Tembetary
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Atlético Tembetary has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20