GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Atlético San Luis W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

9.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético San Luis WWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético San Luis WToluca W
50.0Attack100.0
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power94.8
1.47xG2.31
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