GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 11/5/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Atlético San Luis W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético San Luis WLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético San Luis WToluca W
50.0Attack100.0
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power94.8
1.47xG2.32
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