Atlético Pasovs
Real Ávila
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlético Paso 0-0 Real Ávila, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Paso 3-0 Real Ávila
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 35.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.0% | 30.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 33.6% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Ávila
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlético PasoDLWDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real ÁvilaLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético PasoReal Ávila
28.6Attack33.3
57.1Defence50.0
28.6Form38.9
41.1Power43.6
1.03xG0.92