Atlético Ottawavs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Ottawa 2-1 York United
Original prediction
Atlético Ottawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 63.3% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.9% | 17.7% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.2% | 19.0% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Ottawa
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60