Canadian Premier LeagueCanadian Premier League
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Atlético Ottawa

Atlético Ottawa

Home
DLW
11
Full time
York United

York United

Away
DL
TD Place Stadium
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Atlético Ottawa(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Atlético Ottawa
42%
Draw
35%
York United
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Atlético Ottawa
47
York United
18
Defence
Atlético Ottawa
39
York United
14
Momentum
Atlético Ottawa
44
York United
17
Danger (xG)
Atlético Ottawa
1.20
York United
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Atlético Ottawa)
1.20
avg per match
xG for (York United)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Atlético Ottawa)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (York United)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
DLW
York UnitedYork United
DL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Atlético Ottawa42%
Draw35%
York United23%

Atlético Ottawa leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Atlético Ottawa head into this in Canadian Premier League fixture at TD Place Stadium in mixed form (DLW), while York United arrive in mixed form (DL). Atlético Ottawa have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for York United over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Atlético Ottawa's decent attack (47/100) faces a vulnerable York United defence (14/100), while York United's attack is up against a leaky Atlético Ottawa backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Atlético Ottawa's favour.

Atlético Ottawa have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. York United have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Atlético Ottawa to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Atlético Ottawa 4234%, Draw 3500%, York United 2266%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Atlético Ottawa 0Draws 10 York United
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
18 Jul 2026
Atlético Ottawa
D11
York United

Recent form

Atlético Ottawa

Atlético Ottawa

D
vs York United
18 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Cavalry FC
4 Jul 2026
03
W
@ HFX Wanderers FC
1 Jul 2026
31
York United

York United

D
@ Atlético Ottawa
18 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Vancouver FC
5 Jul 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

GoalVio's model predicts Atlético Ottawa to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more