Atlético Ottawavs
York 9 FC
SCHEDULEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Atlético Ottawa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while York United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlético Ottawa
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80