GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/13/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while York 9 FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
York 9 FCLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético OttawaYork 9 FC
52.1Attack38.1
39.6Defence26.2
50.0Form33.3
49.6Power35.0
2.58xG1.21
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